Economy

UK Mortgage Rates Stay Above 5% as Housing Market Adjusts to Higher Borrowing Costs

Row of terraced houses in a typical British neighbourhood
Residential properties in the United Kingdom. AXT News

British homeowners and prospective buyers continue to face mortgage rates above 5% for the most popular fixed-rate products, as the Bank of England's base rate sits at 4.50% following its February 2026 decision. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to hold rates, with two members favouring a further cut to 4.25%.

Current Mortgage Rates

The average two-year fixed-rate mortgage stood at 5.38% in mid-February, according to data from Moneyfacts. Five-year fixed rates averaged 5.12%, offering a small saving for borrowers willing to lock in for a longer period. These rates compare with levels below 2% seen during 2021, when the Bank of England's base rate was just 0.10%.

For a typical mortgage of 200,000 pounds, the difference between today's rates and those available three years ago amounts to approximately 350 pounds per month in additional interest costs. This has had a measurable impact on both housing affordability and the volume of property transactions.

House Prices and Market Activity

Despite higher borrowing costs, UK house prices have shown surprising resilience. The Office for National Statistics reported annual house price growth of 3.4% for the year ending January 2026, with the average UK house price reaching 299,000 pounds.

Regional variation remains significant. London prices grew just 1.2%, while the East Midlands and North West recorded gains of 4.8% and 5.1% respectively. Scotland saw the strongest growth at 5.6%, partly driven by different stamp duty rules and lower absolute prices making the market more accessible to first-time buyers.

Affordability Pressures

Housing affordability has worsened since 2021. The average house price is now approximately 7.5 times the average annual salary, compared with 7.2 times in 2021. In London, this ratio exceeds 12.

First-time buyers face particular challenges. The typical first-time buyer now needs a deposit of approximately 53,000 pounds, up from 47,000 pounds two years ago. Government schemes such as the Lifetime ISA, which offers a 25% bonus on savings up to 4,000 pounds per year, continue to operate but have been criticised as insufficient given the scale of the affordability gap.

Rental Market Pressures

The rental market has also been affected by higher interest rates. Many buy-to-let landlords have passed increased mortgage costs through to tenants in the form of higher rents. Average UK rents rose 8.7% year-on-year in January 2026, according to the ONS Index of Private Housing Rental Prices.

Outlook for 2026

Mortgage brokers and economists generally expect rates to decline gradually during 2026, though the pace depends on the Bank of England's inflation outlook. HSBC expects the base rate to fall to 3.75% by year-end, which would translate to average mortgage rates of around 4.5% for two-year fixes.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors forecasts house price growth of 2-3% nationally in 2026, with regional markets continuing to outperform London. For borrowers on variable rate deals, the advice from most financial advisers is to consider fixing before rates potentially rise again.

For current Bank of England base rate information, visit the Bank of England website.